World tourism won’t return to pre-pandemic levels until 2024

 

 

 

Tourism arrivals around the world are not expected to return to their pre-pandemic levels until 2024 at the earliest, the World Tourism Organization said Tuesday.

The highly contagious Omicron variant, though mild, will “disrupt the recovery” in early 2022 after last year saw four percent growth over 2020, according to the Madrid-based UN agency’s World Tourism Barometer.

Tourism revenue in 2020 was 72 percent down on the previous year — which closed with the onset of the coronavirus pandemic.

“The pace of recovery remains slow and uneven across world regions due to varying degrees of mobility restrictions, vaccination rates and traveller confidence,” the UNWTO said in a press release.

In Europe and the Americas, foreign visitor arrivals surged by 19 percent and 17 percent, respectively, last year over 2020.

In the Middle East, however, arrivals declined by 24 percent in 2021, while in the Asia-Pacific region they were 65 percent below 2020 levels, and 94 percent down on pre-pandemic levels.

The statement said tourism professionals “see better prospects” for this year after turbulence in the early months because of the Omicron wave.

The agency predicts a 30 to 78 percent rise in international arrivals this year over 2021, while remaining far below 2019 levels.

Most experts say they do not foresee a return to pre-pandemic levels until at least 2024, it said.

Many countries are highly dependent on tourism and are eagerly awaiting a return to normal.

“The economic contribution of tourism in 2021 (measured in tourism direct gross domestic product) is estimated at $1.9 trillion (1.68 trillion euros), above the $1.6 trillion in 2020, but still well below the pre-pandemic value of $3.5 trillion,” the statement noted.

 

 

コロナ禍からの旅行産業の恢復が、昨年辺りから後ろ倒しの2024年とか2025年とかに成る分析が、旅行産業シンクタンクや旅行産業の世界的公的機関からコメントが為される様になっている事は、既に当マガジンでご紹介済みですが、

改めて2022年が始まったこの初月1月に国連世界観光機関(WTO:World Tourism Organization)は先頃にコメントは発出した!新型コロナウイルスの感染拡大の影響で、世界の旅行者数が感染症の世界的流行前の2019年の水準に戻るのは早くても2024年になるとの予測を明らかにした。

経営基盤が脆弱な、それも商いの商材が海外旅行専従旅行社に置いては、コロナとの戦いの終戦をむかえる日が近い事を意味しています

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村松社長

旅行産業界に身を置いてはや45年。シンガポール航空社の日本でのB2Bリーディングカンパニーから京都の制御機器メーカー傘下旅行社を経て起業して以来早くも28年目に入りました。このコロナ禍で本当の旅行情報を発信するために旅行WEBマガジンを令和3年に立ち上げる。専門は海外の出張など。趣味:散歩ついでのお地蔵さん・神社お詣り、銭湯巡り、落語鑑賞、映画鑑賞。

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